You bought for a reason.
We tell you when it breaks.

Tell us why you bought the stock. Holds watches it to see if it still stands, and speaks up only when it doesn't.

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The demonstration
NVDA Sample thesis · live monitor
0 watched
0 silent
0 escalated
Your thesis: why you hold
01 CUDA creates switching costs no competitor can match. Intact
02 Hyperscaler AI capex keeps growing through the horizon. Intact
03 Pricing power holds; gross margins stay above 70%. Intact
ReadingLogged

Analyst initiates coverage with a Hold rating.

An opinion, not evidence. Bears on no pillar.

ReadingDigest

NVDA -12% on the day.

Sector-wide selloff on a rate surprise; nothing company-specific. Touches no pillar.

ReadingLogged

Startup unveils a competing training chip, no customers yet.

Competitive pressure, but no commitments. Insufficient to move Pillar 03. Watching.

ReadingEscalated

Major cloud provider signals an AI capex pause for 2027.

Directly weakens Pillar 02 (hyperscaler capex growth). Specific, sourced, material. This one's for you.

Flips Pillar 02 → Weakening
§ 01The approach

Trackers tell you what you own. Alerts tell you what happened. Holds tells you whether it matters to your reasoning. The costliest mistake is holding a stock whose reason is already gone.

Quietly watched today NVDAAAPLTSMASMLAMD+6 more
When it clears the bar

Every signal arrives as judgment, not data.

Which pillar it touches, which way it cuts, and why, in one read.

  1. Iwhich pillar it touches
  2. IIwhich way it cuts
  3. IIIthe reasoning behind the call
NVDA · thesis monitorReading
Pillar 02 · Hyperscaler capex IntactWeakening
Against your thesis
Why it cleared the barA cloud provider signalled an AI capex pause for 2027, material to the pillar you hold NVDA for.
Silenced. Won't resurface unless it worsens.
Pillar 02 flagged for review. Re-rate the pillar in your thesis, or hold and keep watching.
§ 02Signal & silence

Judged as much by what it withholds.

Speaks up for
  • A competitor with real customer commitments.signed customers move a moat pillar: escalate
  • A regulatory reversal that hits your reasoning.changes a rule your thesis assumes: escalate
  • A capex or demand signal against a growth pillar.direct evidence against a held pillar: escalate
  • A drop it can't explain away.not sector, not noise: unexplained
Stays quiet on
  • Routine price wiggles.noise: stays quiet
  • Analyst rating changes.an opinion, not evidence: stays quiet
  • News about segments you don't hold it for.bears on no pillar: stays quiet
  • Pre-scheduled insider sales.automatic, pre-arranged: stays quiet

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